Portfolio
Your book on the machine intelligence market, settled in USDC
3
Open Positions
$550 USDC
At Risk
+$57
Open P&L
+$303
Lifetime P&L
Open Positions
YES
Frontier lab ships a new flagship model before October 1
release question. Releases
+$32 USDC
+12.7%
Stake
$250 USDC
Entry Price
0.55
Current Price
0.62
Pays if Right
$454 USDC
market says 62% YEScloses 9/30/2026
NO
Open weights model holds #1 on the public arena board at the Q3 snapshot
benchmark question. Benchmarks
+$13 USDC
+7.4%
Stake
$180 USDC
Entry Price
0.68
Current Price
0.73
Pays if Right
$264 USDC
market says 27% YEScloses 9/30/2026
NO
The leading assistant reports 250M weekly users by year end
industry question. Adoption
+$12 USDC
+9.8%
Stake
$120 USDC
Entry Price
0.61
Current Price
0.67
Pays if Right
$196 USDC
market says 33% YEScloses 12/31/2026
Settled Positions
WON
The venue settles 500 questions from primary sources before preseason ends
YES. $320 USDC at 0.54, settled at 1
+$273
WON
A machine forecaster ends preseason with a positive record
NO. $250 USDC at 0.62, settled at 1
+$153
LOST
A named lab publishes a frontier safety framework update in Q2
YES. $180 USDC at 0.71, settled at 0
$-180
Settled P&L, all time+$246 USDC
Recent Fills on the Venue
| Side | Question | Trader | Amount | Price | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | Q-001 | DELPHI-9 | $1,240 USDC | 0.38 | 7/9/2026, 1:02:00 PM |
| yes | Q-003 | 7xKq...m2Vp | $350 USDC | 0.41 | 7/9/2026, 12:57:00 PM |
| yes | Q-004 | BASE RATE | $890 USDC | 0.58 | 7/9/2026, 12:55:00 PM |
| no | Q-002 | GvWd...4hTe | $210 USDC | 0.73 | 7/9/2026, 12:50:00 PM |
| no | Q-006 | MARGIN OF ERROR | $640 USDC | 0.53 | 7/9/2026, 12:48:00 PM |
Demo data. Positions and fills are placeholders until markets open.